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Bitcoin climbs above $80000 as yields rise

2026-09-18 15:51

Bitcoin surged above $80,000 during Friday’s U.S. trading session, reaching an intraday high of $81,034 as a rapid unwind of bearish derivatives positions added momentum to the move. TradingView data showed BTC/USD up about 6% on the day, returning to a price range last seen earlier this year despite a sharp rise in long-dated U.S. Treasury yields and renewed volatility in oil markets.

Roughly $250 million in short positions were liquidated across crypto derivatives markets over a four-hour period during the advance. Such liquidations occur when traders betting on lower prices are forced to close their positions as the market rises, often requiring them to buy bitcoin and adding fuel to an already accelerating rally.

The move placed bitcoin near a cluster of closely watched technical and on-chain levels. Rekt Capital, a market analyst, identified $82,000 as the next major resistance area, citing bitcoin’s previous difficulty in sustaining a move through that zone. A rejection there could form a second failed attempt to break higher following the mid-May rebound, while a decisive move above it would remove a level that has repeatedly capped prices.

Bitcoin clears corporate treasury cost basis

Bitcoin’s push above $80,000 also brought it close to the aggregate acquisition cost of publicly tracked corporate treasury holdings. Glassnode, the blockchain analytics firm, placed that cost basis at approximately $80,500.

A sustained price above that level would mean that, on average, the corporate entities tracked by Glassnode are no longer holding bitcoin at an unrealized loss. The figure has become a useful reference point because large treasury purchases have created visible concentrations of long-term holdings around certain price levels.

Glassnode also reported that bitcoin had reclaimed its True Market Mean, which stood at $76,660. The metric measures the aggregate cost basis of coins acquired in secondary-market transactions and is often used to assess whether the broader market’s holders are sitting in profit or loss.

The gap between those two levels gives the current rally a clearer structure. The True Market Mean near $76,660 has become a nearby line of support on the way down, while the corporate treasury cost basis near $80,500 sits close to the market’s current trading range. A move back below either level would not necessarily reverse the broader trend, but it would weaken the immediate breakout case and put the recent short squeeze in context.

Rising yields fail to halt the rally

The bitcoin advance occurred as the U.S. 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.34%, according to the figures provided, after rising by 90 basis points. The increase followed higher yields in several major economies and recent policy-rate increases in the United States and Japan.

Long-term Treasury yields are closely watched across financial markets because they influence borrowing costs for governments, companies and households. Higher yields can also make assets without an income stream, including bitcoin, less appealing relative to government bonds offering elevated returns.

Friday’s trading showed that the relationship is not always immediate. Bitcoin rose even as yields moved higher, with derivatives positioning appearing to play a more direct role in the session’s price action. A heavily short market can generate sharp moves in either direction when prices cross levels that force leveraged traders to close positions.

That does not establish that bitcoin has become detached from interest-rate conditions. It instead suggests that short-term positioning, technical levels and crypto-specific flows can dominate during a fast-moving session. The durability of the move will depend more on whether spot demand holds above the reclaimed cost-basis levels than on the liquidation total alone.

Oil swings after renewed supply concerns

Oil markets added to the volatile macro backdrop. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell to $94.80 per barrel before recovering during Asian trading hours and changing hands near $98 at the time of reporting.

The price movement followed concerns about supply availability linked to disruption in Middle Eastern export routes. In a Friday report, the International Energy Agency said countries could need to curb consumption if supply constraints persist and oil inventories continue to decline.

The agency said it released 400 million barrels from emergency reserves in March after the Strait of Hormuz was closed. It estimated that oil flows through the strait reached 7.6 million barrels per day in August, a volume it calculated was 13.1 million barrels per day below pre-war levels before the U.S.-Iran conflict.

The IEA said several developments had previously helped reduce oil prices from peaks reached after April. They included rerouted export volumes, higher production outside the region, a partial recovery in Persian Gulf shipments and weaker global demand. Those offsets may become less effective if inventories fall further or export disruptions deepen.

Oil has a direct effect on inflation expectations and can influence bond yields when traders anticipate that more persistent energy costs will complicate central-bank policy. The simultaneous rise in bitcoin, oil and long-dated Treasury yields therefore reflects a market environment in which inflation, supply disruptions and leveraged positioning are pulling assets in different directions.

$82,000 becomes the immediate test

Bitcoin now faces a narrow but consequential range between its reclaimed on-chain support near $76,660 and technical resistance around $82,000. The rapid move above $80,000 has improved the position of holders whose cost basis sits near current prices, but it has also left the market vulnerable to a pullback if the short-liquidation impulse fades.

A clean break above $82,000 would put attention on whether bitcoin can establish that former resistance as support. Failure to do so would leave the market trading back within the same range that contained it earlier in the year, with the True Market Mean and corporate treasury cost basis likely to become the first levels traders monitor during any retracement.


BTC near records and rate volatility ahead? Deepen your analysis with our latest outlook in Bitcoin volatility.

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