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KOSPI enters bear market as SK Hynix plunges

South Korea’s stock market suffered a sharp early selloff on July 13 as the KOSPI index dropped 6% in morning trading, triggering a circuit breaker and confirming the benchmark’s slide into a technical bear market. The pressure centered on SK Hynix, whose shares fell 12% and slipped below 2 million won, extending a steep reversal from the artificial intelligence-driven rally that had made the memory-chip group one of the most closely watched companies in Asia.

The fall marked a dramatic change in mood for a market that had been lifted for months by enthusiasm around AI infrastructure, high-bandwidth memory chips and the global data-center boom. From its June 25 record high, the KOSPI has now retreated about 33%, according to the figures cited in market data, while SK Hynix has also lost a major portion of the gains that had briefly made it South Korea’s most valuable listed company.

The speed of the decline has raised concern well beyond Seoul. Heavy selling in semiconductor shares, high levels of leverage among local traders and a rising correlation between technology stocks and digital assets have turned what began as a chip-sector correction into a broader test of risk appetite across global markets.

The latest selloff followed reports that Meta was preparing to sell excess AI computing capacity, a development that added to fears that parts of the AI infrastructure boom may have moved too far, too fast. Semiconductor shares had already been under pressure, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling more than 13% since early July. In South Korea, the unwinding was severe enough to trigger repeated circuit breakers and sidecar mechanisms as automated systems tried to slow disorderly trading.

The pressure was amplified by the structure of the KOSPI itself. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix together account for more than 43% of the benchmark index, meaning sharp moves in the two chipmakers can quickly dominate the broader market. That concentration left the index unusually exposed when traders rushed to reduce positions in AI-linked shares.

The downturn also exposed the fragility of crowded leveraged trades. Earlier this year, leveraged exchange-traded funds tied to major Korean technology shares accounted for as much as 84% of local trading volume. As prices reversed, rebalancing by those products added to the selling pressure, creating a feedback loop in which falling prices forced further reductions in exposure.

Semiconductor losses trigger circuit breakers

SK Hynix has been at the center of South Korea’s AI stock boom. The company’s shares had surged roughly 850% over the previous 12 months, and its valuation had reportedly topped $1 trillion during the height of the rally. In late June, SK Hynix surpassed Samsung Electronics in market capitalization, briefly becoming the country’s most valuable company.

That shift was symbolic. Samsung has long been viewed as the dominant force in South Korea’s corporate landscape, but SK Hynix became the preferred AI memory name because of its strength in high-bandwidth memory, or HBM, a key component used in advanced AI chips and data-center hardware.

The reversal, however, has been equally symbolic. A stock that had come to represent South Korea’s role in the AI supply chain has now become the main source of market stress. As SK Hynix slid below 2 million won, the move signaled that traders were no longer willing to pay peak valuations for future AI chip demand without clearer evidence that earnings could keep exceeding expectations.

The KOSPI’s fall of more than 20% from its June levels met the standard definition of a bear market. Between July 7 and July 8, the benchmark had already tumbled more than 20%, setting the stage for the sharper July 13 break. Those sessions also produced some of the highest numbers of circuit-breaker and sidecar activations recorded since 2008, underlining the scale of the market dislocation.

Circuit breakers are designed to pause trading during extreme moves, giving market participants time to reassess prices and reduce panic-driven orders. But repeated halts can also signal that liquidity is weakening and that sellers are struggling to find buyers at stable prices. That has become a major concern in Seoul, where the market’s dependence on a small number of mega-cap technology names has made broader indices more vulnerable to forced selling.

A crowded trade turns against the market

The selloff has been made worse by the heavy participation of individual traders using borrowed money. Local traders have bought a net $80 billion of domestic equities this year, even as foreign traders pulled roughly $95 billion from the market. This divergence left local accounts carrying more of the risk as global funds moved to the sidelines.

Margin financing reached a record 38 trillion won by the end of May, according to the figures cited in the article. Separately, the daily average for loaned retail money reached 61.9 trillion won during the second quarter. These numbers point to a market in which borrowing had become a major driver of trading activity.

That matters because leverage can accelerate losses when prices fall. Traders who buy shares with borrowed funds may be forced to add cash or sell holdings if prices drop below required levels. When many accounts face that pressure at once, selling can become mechanical rather than discretionary. The result is a faster and more disorderly decline.

Leveraged ETFs added another layer of pressure. These products often rebalance daily to maintain a target exposure. When markets fall sharply, they may need to sell additional shares or derivatives to reset their positions. In a market already dominated by a few large chip names, that rebalancing can deepen the initial move.

The KOSPI’s structure therefore turned a sector correction into an index-level shock. Samsung and SK Hynix are not just large companies; they are central pillars of the benchmark. When both come under pressure at the same time, the effect can be much larger than a normal stock-specific downturn.

Strong earnings fail to calm traders

One of the most striking features of the decline is that it has taken place despite exceptionally strong earnings growth. SK Hynix’s second-quarter operating profit was projected at 60.4 trillion won, up 556% from a year earlier. Samsung reported quarterly operating profit of 89.4 trillion won, an increase of 1,810% from the prior year and stronger than even annual forecasts.

In normal conditions, figures of that scale would be expected to support share prices. Instead, both stocks weakened as traders questioned whether AI-related capital spending had already reached unsustainable levels. The issue is no longer whether demand has been strong; it is whether the pace of growth can justify the valuations reached during the rally.

For SK Hynix, another concern is the structure of its high-bandwidth memory contracts. Many of those agreements are locked in at fixed prices over several years. That provides revenue visibility, but it also means the company may capture less immediate benefit from recent spot-price increases in DRAM and NAND chips. In other words, soaring spot prices do not automatically translate into the full upside that short-term traders may have expected.

The company’s Nasdaq listing also added complexity. SK Hynix completed a $26.5 billion listing through American depositary receipts priced at $149 per share, marking the largest foreign IPO in U.S. history based on the figures cited. The ADRs closed their first trading day nearly 13% higher, with valuations around 17% above the Seoul-listed shares.

That gap reflected limits on share conversion and differences in liquidity between the U.S. and South Korean markets. While the strong ADR debut showed continued demand from overseas accounts, it also created questions about pricing differences across markets and the possible effect of future capital flows.

The firm is expected to repatriate more than $20 billion from its U.S. listing proceeds by mid-July. In addition, about 17.79 million new shares are scheduled to begin trading in Seoul at the end of the month. These events could inject liquidity, but they may also test the market’s ability to absorb supply during a fragile period.

Crypto markets lose their safe-haven argument

The technology selloff is also sending a warning to digital asset markets. Recent correlation data show that major digital coins have been moving closely with large technology shares, weakening the argument that they can reliably act as a safe place during equity-market stress.

The 30-day correlation between major technology shares and digital assets has reportedly reached 0.9 on a scale where 1.0 indicates near-perfect movement in the same direction. That is an unusually tight relationship and suggests that digital coins are now behaving less like independent assets and more like high-beta extensions of the same risk trade driving AI and semiconductor stocks.

This matters because forced selling in equities can spill into digital assets when traders need to raise cash. If a fund or individual account faces losses in chip stocks, leveraged ETFs or broader technology holdings, digital coins may be sold to meet margin calls or reduce overall risk. In that environment, even good news specific to digital assets may not be enough to protect prices.

Sentiment has already deteriorated. Widely followed fear-and-greed measures for digital markets are near 23, a level associated with extreme fear. Such readings do not guarantee further losses, but they show that confidence has weakened and that many traders are preparing for more volatility.

The key point is that digital assets are no longer trading in isolation. When liquidity is abundant and technology shares are rising, digital coins may benefit from the same appetite for growth and risk. But when equity markets reverse and leverage is reduced, the same connection can become a liability.

Leverage becomes the central risk

The most immediate risk across both South Korean equities and digital assets is leverage. Borrowed money supported a large part of the recent rally, and that same borrowing can intensify the downturn.

For equity traders, margin financing at record levels means price declines can quickly become forced selling events. For digital asset traders, the risk is similar. When prices fall quickly, positions financed with borrowed funds may be liquidated automatically. That can push prices lower, triggering further liquidations in a chain reaction.

This is why cash management has become more important than short-term prediction. Traders carrying large leveraged positions face a market in which price gaps, trading halts and liquidity shortages can make exits more difficult. Reducing borrowed exposure before volatility spikes further may help limit the risk of forced liquidation.

The next two weeks could be especially important. Markets will be watching whether the semiconductor sector stabilizes, whether SK Hynix can hold key price levels, and whether upcoming share supply and repatriated listing proceeds ease or worsen volatility. If chip stocks find a floor, risk appetite may improve. If selling continues, digital assets could remain exposed through their elevated correlation with technology shares.

What comes next for the market

The debate over the semiconductor sector remains divided. Supporters of the long-term AI chip story point to supply agreements extending to 2028 and expectations that demand for advanced memory will remain strong as cloud providers, chip designers and large technology companies continue building AI infrastructure.

Skeptics argue that the sector may be nearing an earnings peak. Their concern is that memory suppliers may expand too aggressively, weakening pricing discipline and reducing the scarcity value that supported the rally. If capacity grows faster than demand, today’s exceptional profit margins could come under pressure.

Both arguments can be true over different timeframes. AI demand may remain structurally strong, while share prices may still fall if valuations become too stretched or if earnings fail to beat already high expectations. That appears to be the central lesson from the SK Hynix reversal: strong profits alone are not enough when market expectations have moved even faster.

For South Korea, the episode highlights the need to watch index concentration, leverage and retail credit conditions as closely as corporate earnings. A market dominated by two chip giants can rally powerfully when the theme is working, but it can also fall quickly when traders move to reduce risk.

For digital asset markets, the warning is equally clear. If coins are trading in line with technology stocks, then a semiconductor-led equity correction can become a crypto-market event. Traders who assumed digital assets would provide a refuge during stock-market stress may need to reassess that view.

The KOSPI’s circuit breaker was not only a local market event. It was a signal that the AI trade, after months of extraordinary gains, is facing its sharpest test yet. Whether this becomes a temporary reset or the start of a deeper unwind will depend on leverage, liquidity and whether confidence returns to the semiconductor sector before forced selling spreads further.


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