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Bitcoin clawed back some ground as BTC dominance rose 0.59% to 59.7%, putting pressure on the altcoin complex. The Altcoin Index held at 44, showing that while rotation chatter is still alive, the market is leaning risk-off for now.

Stablecoin flows suggest there’s still dry powder waiting. On August 19 alone, $227M flowed in. USDT added $75M, USDC brought in $247M, pushing the total stablecoin supply to $237.604B. That kind of liquidity means traders are waiting for the next clear signal before firing.

That signal is not coming from ETH just yet. Ethereum ETFs saw $109M in outflows on August 18, compared with $53M out of BTC ETFs, and this is without updated data from BlackRock’s desk. The tide of ETH ETF redemptions is being watched closely and with current whale cost bases sitting at $3,827 (BMNR) and $3,571 (SBET), it puts a spotlight on whether ETH can hold the line above those levels.

Institutions are still making big moves. Metaplanet announced another 775 BTC purchase, taking its stash to 18,888 BTC, while BMNR disclosed it quietly picked up 370,000 ETH worth $1.58B over the past week. MicroStrategy kept up the buying spree too, snagging 430 BTC at $119,666 apiece for $51.4M total between August 11 and 17.

Canary Capital’s CEO added fuel by floating a $140K–$150K BTC target by year’s end, dismissing ETH as “outdated tech” and even reviving the case for Litecoin as “digital silver” with payment and digital art use cases.

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Macro and policy

U.S. equities were flat, with the Dow down 0.08%, Nasdaq up 0.03%, and S&P 500 barely off 0.01%. Treasury yields inched higher, with the 10-year at 4.33%, while the US dollar index pushed 0.30% higher to 98.16. Gold dipped 0.16% to $3,331.20.

On geopolitics, Russian officials hinted at “security guarantees” and even possible territorial exchanges in negotiations, suggesting optimism for an eventual ceasefire, though no immediate breakthrough has landed.

President Donald Trump said that the US would help Europe in providing security for Ukraine as part of any deal to end Russia's war in Ukraine, as he and President Volodymyr Zelenskiy began a hastily arranged White House meeting to discuss a path to peace https://t.co/os4SYabRMn pic.twitter.com/LYTjA4neZm
— Reuters (@Reuters) August 19, 2025

In Asia, Korea’s FSC is drafting a stablecoin regulation bill for October, covering issuance, collateral management, and internal risk controls. It is expected to slot into the country’s broader digital asset legal framework currently being shaped.

Industry heat

Pendle continues to flex in DeFi, hitting $9.2B in TVL, a new all-time high. Leveraged markets are also being dialed up, with BTC and ETH leverage caps raised across the board.

Meanwhile, projects are playing with incentives. Bonk’s launchpad teased a new points system to reward creators and traders, stoking speculation on how that could feed into its next wave of launches.

Alpha watch

Market participants are keeping strategies simple. The consensus view: treat “on-chain lotteries” as quick rotation plays, but know your exit. Take profit at targets, don’t get married to the dream.

투빗

Today: Whales shuffle billions

How to start trading Ethereum

Macro and policy

Industry heat

Alpha watch

Today: Whales shuffle billions

How to start trading Ethereum

Macro and policy

Industry heat

Alpha watch

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