Is BTC’s drop below $65K a warning sign as ETC crashes and SHIB stalls?

February 2026 felt less like a market correction and more like a group therapy session for traders. The BTC price slipped under $65,000, liquidations cascaded across derivatives exchanges, and sentiment collapsed.

 

This is a stark contrast to Bitcoin’s all-time high (ATH) of around $126,000 last October.

 

By February 12, 2026, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropped to 5 (Extreme Fear).

 

On a scale from 0 to 100, that signals extreme fear. The market stayed at those levels for weeks, marking one of the longest panic periods in recent years.

 

 

                                                                                                    Source: alternative.me

 

As of February 23, 2026, 02:05 (UTC+0), it still reads extreme fear with a reading of 8.

 

Meanwhile, assets reacted very differently. Some cracked immediately. Others simply… stopped moving.

 

So what exactly broke? The market structure or trader psychology?

 

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$500M liquidations: What actually happened?

Yahoo Finance reported that Bitcoin’s decline set off widespread liquidations across the digital-asset market, wiping out more than $505 million in positions across multiple tokens.

 

Data from CoinGlass also showed hundreds of millions in liquidations during the move.

 

As of February 23, 2026, at 03:17 (UTC), the price of BTC is trading below $64,000. The move was linked to uncertainty around U.S. tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions, which pushed market participants to reassess risk exposure. 

 

 

The episode highlights that Bitcoin continues to react strongly to macroeconomic developments rather than issues specific to the crypto sector.

 

When the BTC/USDT price falls quickly, leveraged longs close automatically. That selling pushes price lower, which triggers more liquidations, a feedback loop known as cascading deleveraging.

 

This matters because liquidations do not reflect traders changing their minds. They reflect positions being forcibly removed. The BTC price movement was therefore mechanical, not purely fundamental.

 

In addition, on-chain analytics platforms tracked whale wallets accumulating roughly 200,000 BTC in one month. Large holders tend to buy into weakness rather than strength.

 

Another metric flashed an even stronger signal: Bitcoin’s short-term Sharpe ratio collapsed to -38.38: levels seen at cycle lows in 2015, 2019, and 2022, each followed by major recoveries.

 

So while traders watched the rainbow chart BTC drift toward cooler zones, long-term holders quietly accumulated. That divergence matters more than headlines.

 

 

                                                                                                     Source: blockchaincenter

 

Bitcoin price prediction varies by timeframe: in the short term it may trade around $65,000–$75,000 amid volatility, while most analysts place 2026 targets near $110,000–$175,000 if adoption and liquidity grow, meaning the recent drop affects timing more than the broader outlook.

 

However, in a deeper correction scenario, charts suggest possible drops toward $40,000. The market is still deciding whether the recent drop is consolidation or the start of a larger pullback.

 

So the recent drop of Bitcoin’s price below $65,000 does not automatically invalidate bullish forecasts, it mainly affects the timing, not necessarily the long-term outlook.

 

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Ethereum Classic (ETC) under pressure, bears take control

While Bitcoin showed mixed signals, ETC price movement was clearer.

 

The ETC cryptocurrency price dropped nearly 9% in 24 hours during the selloff. Funding turning negative means short sellers are paying longs. This indicates traders are positioning for further downside.

 

That makes any ETC price prediction dependent on one thing: when shorts get crowded enough to squeeze.

 

Historically, similar funding conditions preceded sharp relief rallies, but only after volatility exhaustion. Until then, the price of ETC reflects a bear-controlled market.

 

As of February 23, 2026, 03:38 (UTC+0), ETC price is trading a bit above $8, a 0.12% increase in the last 24 hours but a 6.7% drop in the last 7 days.

 

 

For those looking at an ETC crypto price prediction or broader ETC crypto price outlook for Q2 2026, indicators suggest the market is oversold. However, without wider market recovery, the ETC cryptocurrency price is likely to remain sensitive to overall market direction.

 

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Shiba Inu (SHIB) not falling, not rising, just waiting

If ETC was panic and BTC was uncertainty, SHIB price movement was something else entirely.

 

The Shiba Inu price has moved sideways, with traders describing the market as range-bound. If you ask what the price of Shiba Inu today shows, it has struggled to break resistance levels throughout February.

 

The SHIB coin value often tracks retail participation and liquidity conditions. With the Fear and Greed Index at extreme fear levels, buying interest has remained limited. As a result, the Shiba Inu crypto coin price is waiting for a clear trigger.

 

For any SHIB price prediction, the trigger likely is not macro, it is narrative. Historically, meme assets move when attention shifts, not when interest rates do. As of February 23, 2026, 03:52 (UTC+0), SHIB price is trading just under $0.000006.

 

 

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So… Is BTC below $65K bullish?

It depends on timeframe.

 

Short term: weak structure

Medium term: neutral

Long term: historically constructive

 

The combination of extreme fear index readings, whale accumulation, and Sharpe ratio capitulation has historically appeared near major bottoms.

 

Not guarantees but patterns.

 

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Final thoughts: Panic is not always bearish

Markets rarely bottom on optimism. They bottom when traders stop expecting rebounds.

 

February 2026 delivered forced selling, extreme fear, and heavy shorting: the ingredients of capitulation.

 

Which one leads next will depend not on headlines, but on positioning.

 

And right now, positioning looks a lot more interesting than price.

 

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any decisions.

 

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To buy crypto on Toobit, create an account, complete verification, and go to Buy Crypto. 

 

Choose a token, select a payment method, and confirm the purchase. Your assets will appear in Spot Account once the transaction settles.

 

Congratulations, you now know how to purchase crypto on Toobit!