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Bitcoin shifts away from equities as ETFs gain

Bitcoin’s U.S. spot ETF market posted its strongest weekly inflow total since mid-April, drawing about $853.5 million over five consecutive trading sessions, according to Farside Investors data. The demand arrived as BlackRock digital assets head Robert Mitchnick said bitcoin’s recent trading has shown a growing separation from the equity-market moves that had influenced the asset earlier this year.

Bitcoin was quoted at $63,853 at 2:38 p.m. EST on Monday, down roughly 2% for the session. The cryptocurrency has traded largely between $60,000 and $65,000 for more than two months, leaving it range-bound despite substantial daily volatility. It was also reported to be down nearly 30% year-to-date and around 50% below its level a year earlier.

Mitchnick said the changing relationship with equities became clearer in July, when artificial-intelligence-linked stocks came under pressure. Bitcoin’s relative performance suggested that some market participants were no longer treating the cryptocurrency simply as an extension of high-growth technology trades.

That distinction remains limited to a short period of market action, but it complicates the common view that bitcoin reliably rises and falls alongside technology shares. If the relationship continues to weaken, traders may have to assess bitcoin through a wider mix of drivers, including ETF demand, liquidity conditions, digital-asset-specific risks, and the behavior of long-term holders.

BlackRock’s IBIT captured most of the weekly demand

BlackRock’s iShares bitcoin trust, traded under the ticker IBIT, accounted for $693.7 million of the reported $853.5 million in weekly net inflows, or more than 80% of the total, Farside Investors data showed. Fidelity’s wise origin bitcoin fund, or FBTC, recorded $116.4 million, representing about 13% of weekly inflows.

The concentration illustrates how strongly the spot ETF market remains centered on a small number of large products. IBIT’s lead means that its creation activity — the process through which authorized financial firms add new ETF shares as demand rises — has become a closely watched gauge of institutional participation in bitcoin.

U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs hold bitcoin for their shareholders, allowing traders to gain price exposure through a regulated fund traded on stock exchanges rather than through direct ownership of coins. That structure has made the funds a major channel for traditional brokerage accounts, retirement vehicles, and wealth managers that may not be set up to hold cryptocurrency directly.

Five consecutive days of net inflows do not automatically signal a sustained reversal in bitcoin’s price trend. The figures nevertheless indicate that demand for ETF exposure remained active while bitcoin traded near the lower end of its recent range. The contrast between persistent inflows and subdued spot prices can arise when ETF purchases are offset by selling elsewhere in the market, including profit-taking, derivatives positioning, or movement from long-held wallets.

Mitchnick points to bitcoin’s repeated boom-and-bust pattern

Mitchnick also described bitcoin’s history as a series of five major boom-and-bust cycles. In his view, each cycle has ultimately ended at a higher price range than the prior one, even as the asset has repeatedly experienced severe drawdowns.

That framing places the current weakness within bitcoin’s familiar cycle structure rather than treating a sharp decline as unusual for the asset. Bitcoin has historically produced periods of rapid appreciation followed by deep corrections, often testing the willingness of traders to remain exposed through long stretches of volatility.

The pattern does not provide a timetable for a recovery, and previous cycles unfolded under different market structures. Earlier bitcoin drawdowns occurred before the United States had spot bitcoin ETFs, before large asset managers offered direct bitcoin products, and before ETF flows became a daily market variable. The current market therefore combines bitcoin’s established volatility with a newer source of demand that can be measured through public fund-flow reports.

Custody concerns add another layer to ETF debate

Security concerns surrounding self-custody have also appeared in recent market discussion following reports of a Coldcard-related exploit involving bitcoin held in cold storage. Cold storage refers to wallets whose private keys are kept offline, reducing exposure to internet-based attacks but placing responsibility for device security, backups, and recovery procedures on the owner.

Bloomberg Intelligence senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said last week that several spot bitcoin ETFs registered daily inflows after the reported incident. Balchunas cautioned that the timing alone made it difficult to determine whether the event caused the purchases.

The episode has revived a practical trade-off in bitcoin ownership. Direct custody gives users control over their coins and allows them to transact on the network without relying on a fund manager. ETF shares shift private-key management, wallet operations, and storage procedures to the product’s custodian and other service providers, while also leaving shareholders with a conventional financial instrument rather than transferable bitcoin.

That choice has become more relevant as ETF flows increasingly influence market attention. Traders choosing a fund gain a familiar route to bitcoin exposure, while those holding coins directly retain the ability to move assets on-chain. The $853.5 million weekly inflow shows that, during a period of constrained prices and renewed custody concerns, a large share of demand continued to favor the regulated ETF route.


Want to understand these ETF inflows better? Learn key drivers in our guide What Are ETFs and How Do They Work.

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